RECESSION FORECAST UPDATE
Intensity Corporation
August 1, 2018
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July 2019: Expected recession start date
March 2019 – December 2019: Expected range of recession start date (50% probability)
Probability of recession starting within:
• 6 months: 15.0%
• 12 months: 49.7%
• 18 months: 80.4%
• 24 months: 93.6%