RECESSION FORECAST UPDATE
Intensity Corporation
May 1, 2018
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November 2018: Expected recession start date
July 2018 – July 2019: Expected range of recession start date (50% probability)
Probability of recession starting within:
• 6 months: 44.4%
• 12 months: 67.4%
• 18 months: 80.6%
• 24 months: 88.2%