RECESSION FORECAST UPDATE
Intensity Corporation
November 2, 2018
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March 2019: Expected recession start date
December 2018 – May 2019: Expected range of recession start date (50% probability)
Probability of recession starting within:
• 6 months: 64.8%
• 12 months: 95.1%
• 18 months: 99.3%
• 24 months: 99.8%