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News: Intensity Recession Forecast -- February 4, 2019

RECESSION FORECAST UPDATE
Intensity Corporation
February 4, 2019
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Phew!  Our current recession forecast has relaxed significantly, with a revised expected start date of June 2019.  This reflects, in part, the significant policy changes implemented by the Federal Reserve recently.  It appears that a recession has been averted for the moment and, hopefully, will continue to remain at bay.

June 2019: Expected recession start date

April – September 2019: Expected range of recession start date (50% probability)

Probability of recession starting within:

• 6 months:    59.0%
• 12 months:  95.5%
• 18 months:  99.5%
• 24 months:  99.9%

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