RECESSION FORECAST UPDATE
Intensity Corporation
May 2, 2019
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October 2019: Expected recession start date
August 2019 – January 2020: Expected range of recession start date (50% probability)
Probability of recession starting within:
• 6 months: 48.1%
• 12 months: 91.4%
• 18 months: 99.1%
• 24 months: 99.9%