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News: Intensity Recession Forecast -- December 10, 2019

RECESSION FORECAST UPDATE
Intensity, LLC
December 10, 2019
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February 2020: Expected recession start date

January 2020 – May 2020: Expected range of recession start date (50% probability)

Probability of recession starting within:

• 6 months:   78.7%
• 12 months: 98.2%
• 18 months: 99.8%
• 24 months: 99.9%

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